Regions and activities

1
Regions and activities

• Globalisation, accessibility knowledge society

2
Technologic key drivers

• ICT convergence (mobile phones, video TV,
  Internet) will provide universal, just-in-time
  and user-friendly access to information,
  world-wide.
• ICT will induce the substitution of low-added
  value personal travel, but also an exponential
  growth of flows and movements (persons, freight,
  resources, information), specially at global
  scale.
• ICT will faciliate better management of scarce
  transport infrastructure and service optimisation
• ICT will make more competitive and sustainable
  individual and customised communication modes
  (e.g. road clean vehicles in relation to rail)

3
Economic key drivers

• Knowledge-based activities will generate economic
  growth with relatively less transport and
  communication demands.
• Overall, economic growth will not be decoupled
  from transport growth.
• Transport will become in central regions and
  large metropolis a constrain for developement.
  Many activities will internalise their transport
  demands not to loose productivity.
• Differences on transport and communication
  endowment between regions will become less
  significant explaining economic gaps.

4
Social key drivers

• Virtual relations and comunities will grow
  globally, additional to territorial-based
  communities.
• For the first time, youngers will be more
  competent in more advanced technologies. The
  education system will become more open, and
  participatory.
• More individualistic and heterogeneous ways of
  living and working will emerge. Public spaces and
  facilities (e.g. Transportation terminals) will
  become fundamental assets for social inclusion.
• Time devoted to transport and communication will
  become better valorised, for social interaction
  entretaining, leisure or work.

5
Spatial and Environmental key drivers

• Creation of the European megalopolis. A continous
  urbanised areas with different density levels.
• Total linear urbanisation of the Mediterranean
  coast. North-south migration.
• Concentration of more advanced activities in
  leading areas, and exclusive zones. Emergence of
  functionally closed zones.
• Internalisation of environmental impacts within
  urbanisation processes (emissions, accidents...)

6
Transport key drivers

• Road will reach 77 passangers i 55 freigh.
• Air passanger transport will double
• Maritime transport will grow 4 each year (up to
  15 for conteiners).
• Rail will keep 8 freight and 5 passengers
• Time devoted to transport and communication will
  become better valorised, for social interaction
  entretaining, leisure or work.

7
Territorial key drivers

• Most regions become funcional metropolitan areas
• Reinforcement of cross-border regions.
• Economic gaps will be reduced at national and
  regional level. Important gaps will remain at
  urban level.
• West-East integration will be faster than
  expected
• Increasing tensions between the north and south
  of the Mediterranean.

8
Political key drivers

• ICT will induce more participatory and
  well-informed decision-making processes.
• More investment in infrastructure is achieved
  through Public Private Partnerships.
• New taxation will tend to be applied based on
  environmental criteria (Road pricing achieved by
  using satelite and other positioning
  technologies...)
• EU policies redefined by territories (Coast,
  mountains, islands, rural areas, medium-size
  cities, large cities...).
• More active involvement in south mediterranean
  countries.