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MAPI Global Forecast Data Slides

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3 Month Moving Average of Payroll Employment Growth (left axis) Total Unemployment Rate (right axis) Growth in U.S. Manufacturing Output (Annualized Rate) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: MAPI Global Forecast Data Slides


1
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2
3 Month Eurodollar Deposit Rate
3 Month U.S. Treasury Yield
3
Source Federal Reserve, Senior Loan Officer
Opinion Survey, July 2008
4
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6
U.S. Real GDP Growth ()
7
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Total Unemployment Rate (right axis)
Percent
3 Month Moving Average of Payroll Employment
Growth (left axis)
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
9
Growth in U.S. Manufacturing Output (Annualized
Rate)
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German Real GDP Growth
12
Manufacturing Production
Source Eurostat
13
Index of Manufacturing New Orders in Germany
Source German Central Bank
14
Source Consensus Economics, September 2008
15
Real GDP Growth in France
16
Real GDP Growth
17
Growth in Italian Manufacturing Output
18
Permits
Starts
Source INE
19
Real GDP Growth in Spain
20
Source Consensus Economics, September 2008
21
Real GDP Growth in the United Kingdom
22
Real Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the U.K.
23
Real Gross Domestic Product Growth in
Japan (Annualized)
24
Real Export Growth in Japan (Annualized)
25
Manufacturing Production Growth in Japan. Three
Month Moving Average
26
Broad Nominal Dollar (Left Axis)
Dollar versus Currencies of Major Trading
Partners (Right Axis)
Source Federal Reserve Board
27
Figure 26 The Recent Dollar Revival Is Minor
Broad Nominal Dollar
Source Federal Reserve Board
28
Source Global Insight
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Machinery and Equipment Investment in Canada
35
Source Consensus Economics, September 2008
36
Value Added of Industry in China
Source Global Insight and Consensus Economics,
September 2008
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Source Global Insight
40
Real GDP Growth in India
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Industrial Production Growth in India
43
Real GDP Growth
44
Manufacturing Production Growth
45
Source Consensus Forecasts, September 2008
46
WTI Spot Price of Oil
47
OECD, All Items
OECD, All Items, Less Food and Energy
Source OECD
48
Figure 47The Inflation Outlook for Key
Industrial Countries
Sources Consensus Economics, September 2008 and
MAPI Forecast for the United States
49
Consumer Price Inflation
50
Source MAPI Forecast
51
Real Growth in U.S. Exports of Goods and Services
Source MAPI Simulation of the Global Insight
Model
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