Title: Burden of smoking related ill health in the UK
1Burden of smoking related ill health in the UK
- Ravi Balakrishnan
- BHF HPRG
2Background
- One of the biggest avoidable cause of morbidity
and mortality - Imposes a huge economic burden on the NHS.
- This paper provides an estimate of the current
health and economic burden of smoking in the UK. - Compares with previous studies and puts the cost
of smoking in the context of other risks such as
obesity and unhealthy nutrition.
3Methods
Systematic review Burden of disease
study Involved five steps They were
Step 1 Diseases attributed to smoking were
identified from the WHR 2002 Step 2 Data on
YLL, YLD, and DALYs -Euro A Region. Data on
mortality for the year 2005 was obtained directly
from ONS for England and Wales, and the GRO for
Scotland and NI. Step 3 Percent of total NHS
costs to smoking attributable conditions from DH
document (National Health Executive ,1996).
Total NHS expenditure for 2005-06 was taken from
DHs. Step 4 PAFs for smoking relevant to the
UK were extracted. These PAFs for smoking were
calculated against a theoretical population in
which all individuals had no tobacco use. Step
5 The burden of smoking was calculated by
applying the PAFs
4Results
- Table 1 Summary of studies included in review in
the UK.
5Results cont..
Table 2 Proportion of deaths (mortality), YLLs,
YLDs and DALYs in WHO-EUR-A region 2002
Includes peptic ulcer disease and all
respiratory conditions except COPD Excluding
peptic ulcer disease
6Results cont..
Table 3 Percent of total DALYs lost attributable
to smoking related ill-health, by gender, in WHO
EUR-A region, 2002
Includes peptic ulcer disease and all
respiratory conditions except COPD and
Excluding peptic ulcer disease
7Results cont..
Table 4 Total deaths and deaths attributable to
smoking by gender and countries in the UK, in 2005
8Results cont..
Table 4 Percentage of total NHS costs
attributable to smoking for different diseases in
1992 - 93 and 2005 - 06 and cost
NHS Executive Burden of disease. A discussion
document. Wetherby Department of Health, 1996.
Includes peptic ulcer disease and all
respiratory conditions except COPD Excluding
peptic ulcer disease Attributable DALYs lost
within disease because of smoking as a percentage
of total DALYs lost to disease. NHS National
Health Service DALY disability adjusted life
years PAF population attributable fraction
9Discussion
- Deaths 2005
- 109,000 deaths (18.6 of all deaths) (M 27.2
and F10.5). - Twigg et al 19982002106,100 deaths (17.2
M23F12). - Callum et al 1995 120,000
- Royal College of Physicians1997 117,400
- Peto et al 2000 114,000
- Because of
- methodological differences,
- differing PAFs,
- changing contributions of other causes of death,
- changing prevalence of other risk factors,
- different resident population (57 million in 1991
to 61 million in 2006 in the UK) and the year for
which a mortality estimate is calculated.
10Discussion cont..
- NHS cost for smoking related ill health
- 2005-06 over 5 billion (5.5 of total health
care cost) - Parrott et al - 1991 between 1.4 to 1.5
billion - Buck et al -1991 between 1.4 and 1.7 billion
- 4.9 to 5.5 of total health care cost
- 11.8 (in the US) to 3.3 (in Germany)
- Because of
- 31 billion in 1991-92 to 80 billion in 2005-06
- Different PAFs used (used the same reference
group)
11Discussion cont..
- Underestimated
- Firstly Indirect costs not included
- Secondly Burden due to passive smoking
- Thirdly Not considered all conditions related to
smoking. - Limitations
- Only conditions for which the WHR has PAFs were
included. - The absence of current NHS cost data by disease
category, (extrapolated from 1992 data). - Past burden of smoking.- because of its
retrospective nature, and does not reflect the
success or otherwise of recent and future
interventions.
12Discussion cont..
Table 6 Burden of illhealth related to food,
physical inactivity, overweight / obesity,
smoking and alcohol misuse in terms of costs to
NHS and DALYs
13Conclusion
- Smoking still remains a considerable public
health burden in the UK - Accounting for 18.6 (109,164 deaths) of all
deaths in 2005. - Estimated direct cost to the NHS in 2005-06 was
5.2 billion. - To establishing the baseline
- To track its effects and to support the
continuing smoking cessation services and other
smoking related public health actions - Helps policy makers to prioritise public health
interventions and make effective use of limited
NHS resource
14Thankyou