Title: FINANCIAL SERVICES LIBERALIZATION
1FINANCIAL SERVICES LIBERALIZATION
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3Outline
- Introduction and Overview
- The Benefits of Financial Reform
- The Pitfalls of Reform
- Setting the context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement - Case Study Thailand
- Conclusion Impacts of Foreign Entry on the
Domestic Banking Market
4Introduction and Overview
- The World Trade Organization (WTO) financial
services agreement (FSA),completed on 13 December
1997,which will take effect early in 1999. - The FSA is less than meets the eyes,and our
evalution suggests that is a significant agenda
of market opening measures still to be taken. - Financial market development is a potentially
factor in an economys long-term growth and
development.
5Introduction and Overview
- Financial-market development is fundamental in
two ways - Changes the speed at which capital accumulates.
- Influences the efficiency of production in an
economy.
6Introduction and Overview
- How dose the FSA contribute to financial-market
and to a countrys long-term growth and
development? - OECD-country
- Developing-country
7Introduction and Overview
- The FSA promotes a countrys growth and welfare
by providing a legal framework that reassures
foreign institutions with long-term investments.
It also provides external pressure for changes
that promote sound financial institution, with
domestic groups often resist to protect their own
interests.
8Introduction and Overview
- 1. Internationalization ( or liberalization )
- Opening domestic market to cross-border trade,
allowing entry by foreign firms, and opening the
capital account. - 2. Domestic financial reform
- Process of deregulation and strengthening
domestic financial institution - Financial Reform 12
9Introduction and Overview
- The focus of the WTO negotiations on freer
cross-border trade and on foreign entry in
financial services need to be understood in two
contexts. - First, within the WTO, it reflects the fact that
many standard policy interventions in the
financial sector are untouched by GATS
commitments. - Second, the FSA should be understood in terms of
its contribution to financial-market development
and growth.
10Introduction and Overview
The Benefits of Financial Reform
- The benefits of financial reform include faster
growth. - The benefits of better financial services are
illustrated in - cost saving
- quality improvements
11Introduction and Overview
The Benefits of Financial Reform
- Can be relized by the households, businesses and
governments that are the main users of these
services. - Financial reform and internationalization in the
industrialized countries have shown that - Financial institution
- Savers and investors
12Introduction and Overview
The Benefits of Financial Reform
- User also benefit from increased competition and
access to foreign expertise in several intangible
ways, such as improved quaility of services and
wider choice.
13Introduction and Overview
Objections to Deregulation and Market Opening
- Some countiries, however, are reluctant to
deregulate fully, whereas others are reluctant to
open. The reasons they cite are several. - First, the experience of countris that have
deregulated their financial-market, opened those
markets for foreigners, and liberalized their
capital accounts has been mixed.
14Introduction and Overview
Objections to Deregulation and Market Opening
- Second,these service, in this view, are best
owned and controlled by domestic interests. More
sophisticated foreign entrants, pursuingdifferent
objectives, could come to dominate - Third,reform and internationalization are often
politically difficult be cause, although users
stand to benefit, other powerful interests stand
to lose.
15Introduction and Overview
Objections to Deregulation and Market Opening
- Agrument one by one
- First
- Reforming the domestic financial system and
internationalizing it do ential risk. - Striking a balance between financial-market
efficiency and economic stability is difficult. - Trade-off between economic stability and
financial reform.
16Introduction and Overview
Objections to Deregulation and Market Opening
- Two major factors influence the chances of
successful adjustment to these changes. - Macroeconomic preconditions
- - stable and realistic price
- - prudent fiscal policy
- Reform of the financial sector
- - free up interest rates
- - reduce subsidization of credit
- - strengthen financial institutions and
their super vision
17Introduction and Overview
Objections to Deregulation and Market Opening
- Second
- Foreign participation brings substantial
benefits and can be managed. - Third
- The answer is not to halt the process of reform
and liberalization.Rather, it is to proceed while
emphasizing the strengthening of the systems
ability to evaluate risk
18The Benefits of Financial Reform
- Services that financial systems provide can be
grouped into five categories - mobilize an economys resources.
- facilitate the transactions necessary to carry on
economic exchange and trade. - improve risk management by pooling and
diversifying the risks. - collect and evaluate the information needed.
- monitor the behavior of corporate managers.
19The Benefits of Financial Reform
- Financial institutions are considered to
specialize in - Collecting funds from savers
- Evaluating potentially risky borrowers
- Allocating the funds they collect to those uses
that promise the highest rates of return - All these services are crucial to financing
growth and promoting entrepreneurship.
20The Benefits of Financial Reform
- Idea This chapter surveys the benefits that can
be expected from financial reform and the
promises of a successful WTO financial services
agreement in that respect. - Increased competition will result in more
efficient services and improvement in their
quality and range.
21The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
- The benefits to users take two forms reduced
costs of service to savers and borrowers with the
introduction of more competition and improvements
in from more efficient, customer-friendly
financial institutions.
22The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
- Benefits to savers
- Receive higher rates of return
- Broader choice of savings instruments
- Easier access to financial products
23The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
- Benefits to borrowers
- More accurate appraisal of risk
- Reduced waiting times
- Expanded access to funds through more
sophisticated lending instruments available in a
wider range of maturities
24The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
- In exploring these two sources of benefits, we
draw on available theoretical studies, empirical
evidence, and anecdotes. - The deregulation of US intrastate bank branching
in the 1980s. - The financial integration undertaken by the
European Union.
25The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
- Among the many users of financial services, small
and medium-sized enterprises are likely to gain
the most from more efficient and competitive
financial services. - A study of 524 Indonesian manufacturing firms
during 1981-88
26The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
Cost savings
- Easing restrictions on financial markets and
expanding competition - reduce corporate and household funding costs
- Lower costs in turn reduce product prices and
- Promote corporate competitiveness in
international markets
27The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
Cost savings
- The survey by Berger, Hunter and Timme (1993)
- Technical inefficiencies account for 20 percent
of banks cost. - Banks lose as much as 50 percent of their
potential profits to inefficiency. - Two results emerge from surveying performance
data
28The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
Improved Service and Quality
- Users also benefit from financial services reform
and internationalization in number of qualitative
ways. - Increased competition brings a wider range of
financial services, greater choice of
institutions, new methods of services delivery,
and price competition.
29The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
Improved Service and Quality
- Users obtain more accurate and comprehensible
information - Innovative instrument to hedge risks
- Banks have supplemented their traditional credit
products with lower-risk - Financial services mini-marts offering a range
of products
30The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
Improved Service and Quality
- Internationalization accelerates the pace at
which such benefits are realized, as foreign
financial institutions bring innovations in
products and in service delivery.
31The Benefits of Financial Reform
Benefits to Users
Improved Service and Quality
- As technological changes are introduced, users
benefit from access to new distribution channels. - In Taiwan, deregulation and internationalization
have brought substantial change
32The Pitfalls of Reform
- Financial reform promises hefty benefits, but it
also sets in motion a process of change that will
impose some costs. - There are legitimate concerns about giving
competitive forces free play. - But the analogy with trade in goods is useful
here as well protection against foreign
competition is not the best way to address these
concerns.
33The Pitfalls of Reform
- This chapter surveys
- Three common arguments against financial reform
- That reform increases the chances of financial
crisis - That finance is a strategic sector and therefore
must remain in domestic hands and closely
regulated. - That participants in the sector (and sometimes
the government itself) will be hurt in bearing
the burden of adjustment.
34The Pitfalls of Reform
Three Common Concerns
- How Dose Financial Reform Increase the risk of
crisis? - There is evidence that domestic deregulation and
internationalization can expose or exacerbate
problems in the presence of macroeconomic or
regulatory weakness and may increase the risk
that such weakness leads to a crisis.
35The Pitfalls of Reform
- The answer is to address those weaknesses, within
banking and in macroeconomy. - Foreign financial institutions and foreign entry
are not, per se, associated with financial
crises. - There is a popular impression that banking crises
are associated with financial reform.
36The Pitfalls of Reform
- One study of banking crises noted that, in 18 of
25 cases, financial reform had occurred at some
time in the previous 5 years. - Other studies have identified a number of factors
behind banking crises. - Both studies agree on the association of credit
expansion with domestic reforms.
37The Pitfalls of Reform
- This discussion naturally leads to the
interaction between opening to foreign
competition and opening the capital account of
the balance of payments. - In summary, a proper conceptual distinction among
the issues at hand opening to foreign
competition, opening the capital account,
addressing domestic banking-sector weaknesses,
and stabilizing the macroeconomy should help
countries to realize that the challenge is not
foreign competition per se.
38The Pitfalls of Reform
- Financial sector as strategic sector
- Another main reason why most countries delay
their liberalization of financial service is that
financial sector is believed to as a strategic
sector in economic development. - Financial sector is the medium through which most
of economic transaction are conducted.
39The Pitfalls of Reform
- Banks also play important role in monetary
transmission of monetary policy. - Developing-country governments with immature
financial system often dominated by banks have
tended to organize their financial systems to
channel financial resources to development
priorities. - Foreign financial institutions will have
different priorities and will tend to ignore
domestic objectives.
40The Pitfalls of Reform
- 3. Political Economy of Financial Reform
- The third reason for governments' reluctance to
undertake reform relates to a set of political
economy considerations about domestic costs of
opening to foreign competition. - The key issue is how much benefits of foreign
entry are in hands of the Thais who have less
bargaining power. - The benefits are widely diffused and not well
understood, making coalition building difficult. -
41The Pitfalls of Reform
- Sequencing and Pacing Reform
- macroeconomic adjustment
- trade liberalization
- reform and restructure financial markets
- The reasons for such a sequence are as follows
- first, the capital inflow will cause a real
currency appreciation - second, capital inflows may help to sustain
otherwise unsustainable budget deficits
42The Pitfalls of Reform
- third, allowing capital inflows before
liberalizing trade may cause those inflows to be
channeled to the wrong industries - fourth, there is no reason to expect capital
resources to be allocated to their most
productive uses is the domestic financial system
has not been liberalized. - In reality, there are a variety of possible
reform sequences to choose from, depending on the
countrys macroeconomic, financial, legal,
political, and sociological conditions.
43Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
- This chapter focuses on the history of the
financial services negotiations in the WTO. - Beginning with the inclusion of services in the
Uruguay Round. - The next section presents the General Agreement
on Trade in Services (GATS). - The third section discuss the objectives of the
financial services negotiations , basic stances
and strategies of the negotiations.
44Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
- Services in the Uruguay Round
- The introduction of services into the
multilateral trade negotiations under the General
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) was one of
the achievements of the Uruguay Round. - The US trade delegation officially raised trade
and investment in services issues at the GATT
ministerial meeting and kept the pressure on
thereafter. - Eventually, the negotiating agenda was extended
45Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
- Services in the Uruguay Round
- The insertion of services into multilateral trade
agreement recognized the growing importance of
trade in services in the growth of the world
economy - Most of the liberalization achieved for trade in
goods should be extended to services - Services were eventually included on the Uruguay
Round agenda and led to GATS - The final agreement of the Uruguay Round was
completed in December 1993.
46Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
Overview the GATS
- The three principles are embodied in the GATS
- Transparency
- Most favored nation (MFN)
- National Treatment
47Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
Overview the GATS
- The GATS includes two main elements
- A core agreement with annexes and other documents
- A list of commitments. ( schedule of commitments)
48Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
- Article I of GATS identifies four modes of
delivery of internationally traded services - Cross border Supply
- Consumption Aboard
- Commercial Presence
- Presence of nature person
49Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
Objectives, stances, and Strategies
- Stances are divided by
- Developing- country stances
- Industrial country stances
50Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
- Developing-Country Stances
- Developing countries have recognized that
openness to the world economy is necessary for
successful development, but there has been more
hesitation about financial opening. - They are urged to caution by the financial crises
that have taken place in countries that have
liberalized.
51Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
- Developing-Country Stances
- Countries have to devise an indigenous phasing
process that takes into account initial
conditions in their financial sectors. - Few of their financial firms have reached the
size and efficient that could make them
competitive in industrial countries financial
markets.
52Setting the Context Toward the WTO Financial
Services Agreement
- Industrial country stances
- The situation is different in industrial
countries, where financial firms have become
large and powerful. - Negotiations are undertaken sector by sector, a
trade-off across sectors becomes impractical, and
concessions to domestic sectoral interests in one
area cannot be counterbalanced by those in
another. - Finally, the success of some developing countries
in catching up economically to the established
industrial economies.
53Case Study
54Impacts of Foreign Entry on the Domestic Banking
Market
- Liberalization of financial services is a major
trend recently due to necessities of financial
services to support global activities such as
international trade, investment and production.
55Impacts of Foreign Entry on the Domestic Banking
Market
- Positive Aspects
- Liberalization of financial services lead to
several benefits as well as costs. Main benefits
of foreign entry is higher competition in banking
sector, leading to high quality, more variety of
services at cheaper prices. This will benefit
consumers of banking services.
56Impacts of Foreign Entry on the Domestic Banking
Market
- (i) improve the quality and availability of
financial services in the domestic financial
market - (ii) serve to stimulate the development of the
underlying banking supervisory and legal
framework - (iii) enhance a country's access to
international capital.
57Impacts of Foreign Entry on the Domestic Banking
Market
- Negative Aspects
- Despite the potential benefits of financial
service liberalization, there are three major
concerns. - Risk of crisis
- There is popular impression that banking crisis
are associated with financial reform, and many
government, especially in developing countries,
considered an enhanced risk of crisis to be one
to the costs.
58Impacts of Foreign Entry on the Domestic Banking
Market
- Financial sector as strategic sector
- Another main reason why most countries delay
their liberalization of financial service is that
financial sector is believed to as a strategic
sector in economic development. - Political Economy of Financial Reform
- The third reason for governments' reluctance to
undertake reform relates to a set of political
economy considerations about domestic costs of
opening to foreign competition -
-
59THE END