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Pandemic Planning: A Nation Prepared

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Title: Pandemic Planning: A Nation Prepared


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Pandemic PlanningA Nation Prepared
  • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
  • Mike Leavitt, Secretary

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HHS Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Planning
ADM John O. Agwunobi Assistant Secretary for
Health
5
The Burden of Influenza
  • Seasonal Influenza
  • Globally 250,000 to 500,000 deaths each year
  • In the United States each year
  • 36,000 deaths
  • gt200,000 hospitalizations
  • 37.5 billion in economic costs from influenza
    and pneumonia
  • Pandemic Influenza
  • An ever-present threat

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  • Seasonal Influenza Preparedness

Pandemic Influenza Preparedness
7
Pandemics Do Happen!
H9
1998
1999
H5
2003
1997
2003-2006
H7
1980
1996
2002
2003 2004
H1
H3
H2
H1
1977
1915
1925
1935
1945
1955
1965
1975
1985
1995
2005
1918 Spanish Influenza H1N1
1957 Asian Influenza H2N2
1968 Hong Kong Influenza H3N2
Avian Flu
8
H5N1 Influenza Severe Pneumonia - Vietnam 2004
DAY 5 DAY 7
DAY 10
Hien TT et al., New England J Med
20043501179-1188
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Planning Assumptions Health Care
  • 50 or more of those who become ill will seek
    medical care
  • Number of hospitalizations and deaths will depend
    on the virulence of the pandemic virus

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Pandemic Strain Emergence Reassortment of
Influenza A Viruses
Human virus
Avian virus
Avian Reservoir
11
Pandemic Strain Emergence Direct Infection
Avian virus
Avian Reservoir
12
Addressing Local Practices
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Situation Report Avian Influenza
  • Widespread and spreading prevalence in migratory
    birds broad host range
  • Continued outbreaks among domestic poultry
  • Mammalian infection (cats, pigs, etc.) lethal
  • Virus is evolving
  • Sporadic human cases (184 reports to date)
  • Most in young and healthy
  • Case-fatality gt50 (103 deaths)
  • Rare person-to-person transmission
  • Sustained and rapid person-to-person transmission

14
Nations With Confirmed Cases H5N1 Avian Influenza
(March 21, 2006)
15
Phases of a Pandemic Where We Are Now
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HHS Pandemic Influenza Plan
  • Support the National Strategy for Pandemic
    Influenza
  • Outlines planning assumptions and doctrine for
    health sector pandemic preparedness and response
  • Public Health Guidance for State and Local
    Partners
  • 11 Supplements with detailed guidance

17
HHS Pandemic Influenza DoctrineSaving Lives
  • A threat anywhere is a threateverywhere!
  • Quench first outbreaks detect andcontain where
    it emerges, if feasible
  • International collaborations
  • Frontline detection and response rapid
    laboratory diagnosis
  • Isolation / quarantine / antiviral prophylaxis /
    social distancing / animal culling

18
HHS Pandemic Influenza Doctrine Saving Lives
  • Prevent or at least delay introduction into the
    United States
  • May involve travel advisories, exit or entry
    screening
  • For first cases, may involve isolation /
    short-term quarantine of arriving passengers

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HHS Pandemic Influenza Doctrine Saving Lives
  • Slow spread, decrease illness and death, buy time
  • Antiviral treatment and isolation for people with
    illness
  • Quarantine for those exposed
  • Social distancing
  • Vaccine when available
  • Local decisions

Unprepared
Impact
Prepared
Weeks
20
HHS Pandemic Influenza Doctrine Saving Lives
  • Clearly communicate to the public
  • Prepare people with information
  • Encourage action steps to prepare now
  • Provide updates when new information emerges
  • Use trusted messengers
  • Coordinate to ensure consistent messages
  • Address rumors and inaccuracies

21
Our Health Protection Preparedness SystemA
NETWORK of Shared Responsibility!
  • Local - tribal - state - federal
  • Domestic international
  • Public private
  • Multi-sector
  • Non-partisan
  • Animal human
  • Health protection homeland security economic
    protection

22
Countermeasures Vaccines, Antivirals,
andMedical Supplies
Strategic National Stockpile
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Challenges in Pandemic Vaccine Preparedness
  • Expand production of current (egg-based) vaccine
  • Evaluate dose-sparing technology (adjuvants,
    intramuscular vs. intradermal route)
  • Accelerate development of modern (non-egg)
    vaccines
  • Target new antigens

24
Vaccine Production and Use U.S Seasonal Influenza
25
Avian Influenza Vaccine Production
  • Working with the National Institutes of Health
  • Current H5N1 Vaccine 40 million doses being
    produced
  • Second Clade 2 Avian Influenza vaccine

26
Antivirals and Medical Supplies Influenza
Treatments
  • Stockpile
  • Tamiflu 5 million treatment courses in
    Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) with 12.4
    million treatment courses ordered
  • Tamiflu oral suspension 97,000 courses in SNS
    with an additional 260,000 on order (arrival date
    to be determined)
  • Relenza 84,000 courses in SNS with 1.75 million
    treatment courses ordered
  • Strategy
  • Procure 81 million courses of antivirals
  • 6 million courses to be used to contain an
    initial U.S. outbreak
  • 75 million courses to treat 25 percent of U.S.
    population
  • Accelerate development of promising new antiviral
    candidates

27
Antivirals and Medical Supplies Influenza
Treatments
  • 350 million appropriated in FY 2006 to upgrade
    state and local response capacity for pandemic
    influenza
  • 100 million of the funding is scheduled to be
    awarded to all 50 states 7 territories Puerto
    Rico Washington, D.C. New York City Chicago
    and Los Angeles County and allocated according to
    a base population formula
  • 250 million will be awarded later this year.
    Application for funding is supplemental to
    current cooperative agreements

28
State and Local Pandemic Influenza Planning
Checklist
  • Community Leadership and Networking
  • Surveillance
  • Health System Partnerships
  • Infection Control and Clinical Care
  • Vaccine Distribution and Use
  • Antiviral Drug Distribution and Use
  • Community Disease Control and Prevention
  • Communications
  • Workforce Support

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Pandemic Influenza Checklists
  • State and Local
  • Business
  • Preschool
  • Schools (K-12)
  • Colleges Universities
  • Faith-based Community Organizations
  • Physician Offices and Ambulatory Care
  • Home Health
  • Emergency Medical Services
  • Travel Industry

www.pandemicflu.gov
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Health Protection at the Frontline Local,
County, and State Public Health Departments and
the Indian Health Service

31
  • Seasonal Influenza Preparedness

Pandemic Influenza Preparedness
  • Preparing for a pandemic now will mean
  • Lives saved during seasonal influenza
  • Modern seasonal influenza vaccine for all who
    need it
  • New antiviral drugs for prevention and treatment
  • Community health protection from other threats
  • Peace of mind

32
Complacency is the enemy of health protection!
www.pandemicflu.gov
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Avian Influenza (AI) Preparedness and Response
Veterinary Services March, 2006
35
Topics Covered
  • Avian Influenza Overview
  • USDAs AI Interventions
  • Targeted surveillance
  • Border protection
  • Trade restrictions OIE guidelines
  • Outreach education
  • Preparedness response

36
Avian Influenza Overview
  • Avian influenza (AI) - identified in the early
    1900s
  • High pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) causes
    contagious illness, death in birds Low
    pathogenic (LPAI) causes mild to no illness
  • Vast majority of AI viruses found in birds do not
    represent a public health concern

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Avian Influenza Overview (cont.)
  • Virus is characterized by H and N type (surface
    proteins).
  • 144 different characterizations of the virus,
    based on 16 H types and 9 N types
  • AI viruses mutate easily only H5 and H7 viruses
    have the potential to mutate from an LPAI to an
    HPAI form.
  • AI viruses vary widely in pathogenicity from
    strain to strain. Therefore not all H5N1 viruses
    are infectious for people or pathogenic to
    poultry.

38
Species Affected
Genetic Reservoirs
H3, H7
H1, H2, H3
Intermixing
H5N1
Commercial, LBMs Others
H10
H1-12 H14-15
H1-2, 4-7, H9-13, 15-16
Other Aquatic Birds?
H1, H3, H4, H7, H13
H1, H3
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How is the virus spread among birds?
  • Direct contact between healthy and infected birds
  • Infected fecal matter
  • Can be found on surface of unwashed egg shells
    from infected birds

40
Three HPAI Findings in U.S.
  • 1924 Fowl Plague affected live bird markets
    in the Northeastern U.S.
  • 1983 destruction of 17 million birds in PA
  • 2004 quickly contained and eradicated in TX

41
AI Surveillance
  • APHIS and States conduct surveillance through
  • National Poultry Improvement Plan (NPIP)
  • State and University laboratories
  • Export testing at slaughter
  • State movement requirements

42
AI Surveillance (cont.)
  • APHIS safeguarding system encompasses
  • Targeted surveillance
  • Cooperative efforts with States and Industry
  • Outreach and education
  • Trade restrictions
  • Anti-smuggling programs

43
LPAI Surveillance and Control Plan
  • Federally-coordinated and State-assisted LPAI
    H5/H7 LPAI Control Program
  • Commercial poultry
  • Live bird marketing system
  • Since 1986, APHIS and States have monitored live
    bird markets (LBMs) in Northeast U.S.

44
Surveillance NPIP
  • Establishes standards for evaluation of poultry
    breeding stock and hatchery products
  • Avian influenza free certification for
    commercial companies
  • New LPAI program that will provide for H5 and H7
    AI monitoring

45
Surveillance NPIP (cont.)
  • New LPAI program that will provide for H5 and H7
    AI monitoring
  • Program components AI monitored program,
    surveillance specifications, and State LPAI
    response and containment plans

46
LBMs Surveillance
  • Uniform Standards published in 2004 provide
    guidelines for markets, dealers and producers
  • Licensing requirements and education
  • Bird testing and recordkeeping
  • Sanitation and biosecurity
  • Surveillance and inspections
  • LPAI positive facilities

47
LBMs Surveillance (cont.)
  • States enforce LPAI program standards
  • Federal indemnification provided for
    participating States with positive diagnosis of
    H5 or H7 LPAI
  • APHIS initiated cooperative agreements with 21
    States

48
LPAI Surveillance National Animal Health
Laboratory Network (NAHLN)
  • 37 States participate in the network. NAHLN labs
  • Provide laboratory services nationwide
  • Provide laboratory data for reporting
  • Respond to foreign animal disease outbreaks
  • Focus on animal diseases

49
Border Protection Risk of Introduction of Asian
Strain of H5N1
  • USDA works closely with DHS to prevent smuggling
    of illegal poultry and poultry products.
  • USDAs Smuggling Interdiction and Trade
    Compliance unit and DHS Customs and Border
    Patrol actively monitor U.S. ports.
  • Legally imported birds from other countries are
    tested for AI.

50
Border Protection Risk of Introduction of H5N1
Asian Strain of H5N1
Migratory Birds Overlap of summer breeding
grounds in Alaska, Northeast Canada
  • Genetic separation of H5 AI viruses between New
    Old World
  • Asian birds rarely get off course and go to N.
    America
  • Risk from wild birds is low

51
Trade Restrictions
  • USDA maintains trade restrictions on countries
    affected by H5N1
  • Albania, Azerbaijain, Cambodia, Cameroon,
    Peoples Republic of China, Egypt, France (VS
    defined restricted zone only), India, Indonesia,
    Iraq, Iran, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan, Korea,
    Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria,
    Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia,
    Switzerland, South Korea, Taiperi China,
    Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine and Vietnam
  • Poultry and poultry products from those countries
    are strictly prohibited.
  • USDA works with trading partners and the World
    Organization for Animal Health (OIE) to maintain
    safe trade.

52
World Organization for Animal Health (OIE)
Reporting and Guidelines
  • OIE guidelines state that
  • HPAI and all H5/7 LPAI must be reported to the
    OIE.
  • Poultry meat and table eggs do not transmit LPAI
  • Trade in poultry and poultry products can
    continue despite a finding of LPAI
  • Recommends certain health measures for the trade
    in poultry and poultry products based on risk and
    AI status
  • Compartmentalization allows countries to document
    separation based on biosecurity

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Outreach Education
  • USDAs Biosecurity for the Birds Campaign is an
    extensive and far-reaching outreach initiative
    designed to
  • Educate non-commercial poultry owners about the
    signs of AI other poultry diseases
  • Promote the importance of practicing biosecurity
  • Encourage rapid reporting of clinical signs of
    disease and/or unexpected deaths

54
USDA AI Web Sitewww.usda.gov/birdflu
  • Information about Biosecurity for the Birds
    program
  • Links to other Federal entities working on AI
  • Fact Sheets and other information resources
  • QA on AI
  • News Releases
  • Technical Briefings

55
Preparedness in the Event of an Outbreak
  • Key is early detection and rapid response
  • USDA maintains a comprehensive emergency response
    structure
  • Partnerships with local, State, and Federal
    organizations
  • Integration with the National Response Plan
  • Continual collaboration with HHS, DHS and other
    Federal entities
  • Diagnostic capabilities

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Response to an Outbreak in Poultry
  • Guidelines
  • Stamping out
  • National Response Plan
  • First responders
  • Vaccines

57
Response for AI in Wild Birds
  • Manage wildlife threats
  • Assess risk wildlife poses to susceptible
    livestock and poultry
  • Containment, survey and surveillance, and
    population management

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Questions?
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Convention Center Floor Plan 2 Exhibit Hall and
Ballrooms
BREAK OUT SESSIONS ROOM
LOCATIONS Community/Volunteer Groups
E 21B Private Sector/Business E
21C Schools K-12 E 21 A
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Convention Center Floor Plan 1 Exhibit Hall and
Break out Sessions
LUNCH Exhibit Hall B
BREAK OUT SESSIONS -- ROOM LOCATIONS Assisted
Living/Long Term Care E 10C Colleges and
Universities E 10D Community/Volunteer Groups E
21B (see floor plan 2) Fire/EMS E
11A Healthcare E 10 AB Law Enforcement/Judiciary
E 11C Local Government E 11B Private
Sector/Business E 21C (see floor plan 2) Schools
K-12 E 21 A (see floor plan 2)
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