Title: How to value ecosystem goods and services
1How to value ecosystem goods and services in
agriculture at increasing land use pressure ?
Katarina Hedlund Lund university, Sweden
2Land use projections
- Production of goods is increasing
- Food, biofuels, timber, water use
- Natural habitats are declining
- Mitigating climate change
- Increased pressure on land for production of
biomass
3Agricultural land use
-
- EU biofuel strategy
- 1 (produced in EU)
- 6 10 of total area
- 2020 10 43 of total area
Nowicki 2006
4- Current land use in Europe
5Land use demands
Biofuel production
Agriculture
Natural grasslands
6How do we conserve ecosystem services and
biodiversity ?
Agri-environmental schemes
Heterogeneity in landscapes
Extensification Protected areas
7EU common agricultural policy CAP
- Implemented nationally as rural development plans
with additional national funding - CAP (12 000 million /yr), 47 of EU budget
- Farming is 5 of European economy
- CAP subsidies
- Area based income support
- Rural development actions
- Agri-environmental schemes
8Ecosystem services threatened byintensive
agriculture
- Natural enemies
- Pollination
- Resistance to pests invasive species
- Nutrient cycling
- Water retention
- Carbon retention
9Intensification and above ground services
- Increased heterogeneity may give higher diversity
- Effect is scale dependent
- Not true for all species
Tscharnkte et al. 2007
10Soil ecosystem services
- Nutrient cycling
- N, P retention and availability to plants
- Water retention
- Aggregate structure, organic matter
- Carbon retention
- Fuels microbial activity, mitigates climate change
11Soil ecosystem services-the workers
12Soil services
Reduced under intensive management
Hedlund 2002
13SOILSERVICEConflicting demands of land use
Soil biodiversity and the sustainable delivery of
ecosystem goods and services in Europe
- value soil ecosystem services.
- predict sustainability of ecosystem
services, by field and modelling studies. - Build scenarios to identify economical and
social drivers of land use
http//www.kem.ekol.lu.se/soilservice/index.html
14Land use demands
Biofuel production
Agriculture
Natural grasslands
15Valuation of ecological services
Market values of ecological services prevention
of pests - natural enemies pollination water
retention nutrient retention Non market
values recreation landscapes Markanday et
al 2008
16Economic valuationa dynamic approach
- Ecosystem services in agriculture
- - Dynamic network of interacting organisms
- Responding to changes in land use
- Depending on spatial and temporal scales
17SOILSERVICE
- Economic model
- simulated landscapes
- predicts regional land use (20 yrs)
- Ecological model
- farmers scale
- predicts output of
- ecosystem services
Values of services for farmer and
society Predictions on sustainability Feed back
to policymakers
18Agricultural Policy Simulator (Happe 2004, Brady
et al 2007) Institute of Agricultural
Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO),
Halle, Germany
19Drivers in relation to AgriPoliS
- Exogenous
- Prices of inputs/outputs
- Wage and interest rates
- Agricultural policy
- Climate
- Technology
- Endogenous
- Land market
- Regional markets
- Input output levels
- Land use
- Landscape impacts
- ES production
20Output from AgriPoliS
- Farm structure
- Average farm size
- Number of farms
- Distribution of farm type
- Land use
- Composition of crops
- Distribution of field size
- Landscape mosaic
- Econ. Performance
- Land rents by soil type
- Farm income
- Farm profit
- Investment activity
- Returns to labour
- Livestock
- Numbers of livestock
- Animal density
21SOILSERVICE field sites
Regions for valuation of services
22SOILSERVICE partners
- Lund University, Sweden, Dr Katarina Hedlund
- Swedish Institute for Food and Agricultural
Economics, Sweden - Dr. Mark Brady,
- University of Copenhagen, Denmark Prof. Søren
Christensen, - University of Helsinki, Finland Prof. Heikki
Setälä, - Netherlands Institute of Ecology, NL, Prof. Wim
H. Van der Putten, - Wageningen University, NL, Prof. Peter C. de
Ruiter, - Justus-Liebig-University of Giessen, Germany,
Prof. Volkmar Wolters, - Biology Centre of the Academy of Sciences, Czech
Republic Dr. Jan Frouz, - Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece, Dr.
Stefanos Sgardelis - Lancaster University, United Kingdom, Prof.
Richard D. Bardgett - University of Reading, United Kingdom, Dr. Simon
Mortimer
23Landscape impacts Land use field size
24Land use data (GIS based)Southern Sweden
Cereal production
Grasslands