Mortality trends in the United Kingdom and Ireland

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Mortality trends in the United Kingdom and
Ireland

• Domantas Jasilionis

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Introduction

• So far, the HMD includes England Wales only
• No the United Kingdom as a whole country
• Long-standing tradition of maintaining data
  series for the following parts of the UK
• - England Wales - Scotland - Northern
  Ireland.
• Why is it important to including Ireland into the
  HMD?
• - another European Union country
• - interesting for comparisons to other parts of
  the UK.

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1. Data sources The United Kingdom England
Wales Office for National Statistics Scotland
General Register Office for Scotland Northern
Ireland Northern Ireland Statistics and
Research Agency (NISRA)Ireland Central
Statistics Office Ireland
2. New data series United Kingdom 1922-2005
(civilian population) Scotland 1855-2005
(civilian population) Northern Ireland 1922-2005
(civilian population) Ireland 1950-2006 (total
population)
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The Kannistos (1999) age heaping index for age 80
Note Values above 1.05 suggest about the
presence of age heaping (Kannisto, 1999).
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Age 80
Age 70
Age 60
Age 50
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Jdanov, D., Andreev, E., Jasilionis D., and
Shkolnikov, V. (2005). Estimates of Mortality
and Population Changes in England and Wales over
the two World Wars. Demographic Research, Special
Collection 4, Vol 13(16), pp. 389-414. Available
at http//www.demographic-research.org/ )
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Note Age decompositionaccording toAndreev et
al. (2002)
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New and comparable mortality surfaces have been
produced for the UK, Scotland, Northern Ireland,
and Ireland. The data series differ according to
the period covered, shapes of input data, and
data quality. Data quality problems (age heaping
and age overstatement) are attributable to the
data for Ireland (until 1980). These deficiencies
lead to distortions of age-specific mortality
patterns and overestimation of life expectancy at
older ages. The data for this country (until
1980) should be used with caution. Since 1950,
Ireland and Northern Ireland show convergence of
life expectancy to the levels of England Wales.
Scotland remains a clear laggard in terms of life
expectancy within the UK with no signs of
convergence towards the mainstream trend.
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