Ethiopia: Food insecurity increasing across regions

1
Ethiopia Food insecurity increasing across
regions

• Very low output of the Belg season
• Very dry conditions continue in Somali region,
  lowlands of Oromiya, SNNPR, and Afar limited
  pasture and water, poor livestock body conditions
• Increasing food prices further compounding access

Source FEWS NET

• In Somali Region, limited access and low delivery
  of humanitarian assistance

2
Ethiopia Food prices restricting access to food
for vulnerables

• Food prices remain high and increasing maize
  prices more than 3 times the average in June in
  Addis
• 12-month overall food price inflation more than
  70 percent in June 2008

3
Ethiopia Numbers of people and level of need
increasing

• Nutrition conditions deteriorate in parts of
  SNNPR, Oromiya, Somali, Amhara, Tigray and Afar
  regions GAM as high as 19.5 in parts of SNNPR
  and 23 in parts of Somali Region
• People requiring emergency assistance increasing,
  currently 4.7 million and 5 million requires
  extended SFNP unofficial assessment results
  indicate 12.5 million require humanitarian
  assistance (relief or PSNP)
• Urgent need to scale up therapeutic and
  supplementary feeding interventions
• Government increasing access to Somali Region
  however, access still limited and of concern

4
Djibouti Drought, high prices affect food
security

• Extremely high staple food prices reduce access
  for urban poor and pastoralists
• Limited pasture, critical water shortages cause
  livestock mortality of 50 to 70 percent

• Deteriorating terms of trade and livestock
  mortality leading to pastoral livelihood crisis

5
Djibouti Extreme food insecurity, critical
malnutrition rates result

• Global acute malnutrition rates 16.8 very
  critical in pastoral and sub-urban areas of 25
• 149,000 people require emergency assistance

Source FEWS NET

• Worst-case scenario 341,000 people (54 of total
  population) may need emergency food or water

6
Eritrea Soaring food prices, poor rains cause
food insecurity

• High reliance on imports soaring food prices,
  fuel shortages limit access
• Drought conditions extending to highland areas
  with and low rain forecasted
• Poor supplementary harvest in early 2008
• Government restrictions on information and
  limitations of movement constrain humanitarian
  action

7
Kenya Deteriorating food security due to
drought, high prices and displacement

• Poor long rains in parts of the country,
  insecurity and livestock diseases reducing
  production
• Displaced households remain food insecure, with
  pockets of humanitarian emergency
• High cereal prices further limit access
• More than one million people require emergency
  assistance with tendency to increase in the
  coming months

8
Kenya Reduction in cereal availability and
increasing prices

• Reduction of 10 in maize production is expected
  in 2008
• Food prices continue to increase, likely to
  escalate

Nominal wholesale maize prices, Nairobi, Ksh/90kg
Source FEWS NET
9
Kenya Deteriorating food security due to
drought, high prices in ASAL districts

• Animal diseases, poor pasture conditions ongoing
  insecurity in the northwest
• Limited water resources, pastoral migration for
  neighboring countries in northeast

• Poor harvest in early 2008 and below-normal long
  rains in coastal, marginal agricultural areas
• Critical child malnutrition levels in the north
  (20 or more GAM in many areas)

10
Uganda Food security and nutrition conditions
tight in north, southeast

• Gradual return of IDPs continues 950,000 remain
  in camps or in transit
• Nutrition situation improving, but lack of
  services in return areas
• In southeastern areas, impact of floods on
  previous harvest causing risk of food security
  crisis

11
Uganda Acute livelihood crisis and humanitarian
emergency in Karamoja

• Poor cropping seasons in 2006, 2007 dry
  conditions threaten this years harvest in
  September
• PPR has killed 550,000 animals (25 in region)
  since early 2007
• Crop prices 20 to 65 percent above normal in
  June livestock prices declined significantly
• 707,000 people (70 of region) continue to
  require assistance

Source Oxfam-UK
12
Tanzania Food security favorable local deficits
in upcoming lean period

• Favorable 2007/08 harvests marginal surplus
  exists export ban remains in place
• Fuel prices remain high maize and bean prices
  above average, with decreases in maize

• Lean period from November to March some
  drought-prone districts in northeast to face food
  shortages

Source RATIN
13
Sudan Poor crop and pasture conditions in many
areas

• In the north, rainfall started late rainfall
  needed through end of September, especially in
  Kordofan, North Darfur, and White Nile
• In the south, rainfall has been below-average in
  many areas, although seasonal flooding has begun
  in the flood plains
• Food insecurity persists in Western and Eastern
  Flood Plains due to conflict and flooding
  conditions are improving in pastoral southeast

14
Sudan Food prices rising
Wholesale sorghum prices, Khartoum, SDG/90kg

• Food prices continue to increase in the north,
  due to trader speculation and low food stocks
• Price increases of 50 for wheat in Kadugli and
  40 for sorghum in Gadarif, a surplus producing
  area
• In the south, prices are increasing due to high
  transportation costs, market disruptions due to
  conflict, and population returns

Source SIFSIA-N
Sorghum prices, Juba, nominal retail
Source FEWS NET
15
Darfur Rainy season increases needs conflict
limiting access

• Rainy season currently at peak flooding
  affecting camps, destroying sanitation
  facilities, increasing need for water and
  disease-prevention measures
• Increased insecurity and attacks on humanitarian
  organizations seriously limiting access
• A total of 2.4 million people remain displaced in
  Darfur, plus 178,918 in Chad (sources OCHA, IDMC)

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Chad Moderate to acute food insecurity at peak
of hunger period

• Despite above-average national 2007 harvest,
  widespread food insecurity at peak of hunger
  season
• Particularly acute in areas with structural
  cereal deficits or areas affected by conflict or
  floods in 2007, exacerbated by high food prices
• Conditions expected to improve from September, as
  average seasonal rainfall leads to a good harvest
  and pasture conditions
• Recent floods in Sarh in the south affected 30,000

Current estimated food security conditions
Source FEWS NET
17
Chad Food prices remain above average,
increasing

• Food prices remain above average and increasing
  steadily since early 2008

• Prices of imported and local foods high in all
  markets, due to high international prices and
  regional demand
• Still, prices not as high as 2004/05 marketing
  year

Nominal retail millet prices, NDjamena, CRA
franc/kg
Source FEWS NET
18
Rwanda - Food insecurity due to high prices,
local poor production

• Localized food insecurity increasing in areas
  where 2008B season harvests were poor
• Food prices continue to increase, reducing food
  access for poor market-dependent households

• As the July to September dry season continues,
  households relying more on casual labor to meet
  food needs
• Continued influx of Congolese refugees and
  Rwandan returnees

Source RATIN
19
Burundi Food insecurity due to high prices,
insecurity

• Season 2008B harvest was near normal, but bean
  production was 10 below 2007B due to poor rains
  and civil insecurity
• Food prices remain above average
• Restart of the negotiation process, but security
  concerns persists
• Influx of returnees 20,000 in June, 13,000 in
  July, 40,000 more expected through end of year

20
Burundi Food prices remain high

• Sustained high prices of beans a concern for
  low-income consumers
• 500,000 MT imports required to meet consumption
  requirements this year
• Labour/food terms of trade deteriorating two
  days of work needed for 1kg of beans

21
DRC Increasing insecurity and displacement in
the east

• More than 1.4 million people remain displaced in
  the east 530,000 in North Kivu
• Security situation in Kivu remains unstable.
  Conflict increased in August
• With recent increased tensions, a likely scenario
  includes additional displacement of 100,000 to
  300,000 people in next 6 months

22
DRC Increasing food prices continue to restrict
access

• Food and fuel prices continue to rise, especially
  in the east where transport costs are higher
• Urban populations particularly affected
• Urban population 19.3 million total of 24.1
  million live on less than 1 per day

Source FAO
23
Central African Republic Prices rising, civil
insecurity persists

• Food prices have been increasing since early 2008
  (30 to 50 percent for cassava 40 percent for
  wheat)
• Two-thirds of population lives below poverty
  line 1 million people already planned to receive
  assistance
• Agricultural production continues to be hampered
  by persistent insecurity nearly 300,000 people
  displaced over the past two years
• Despite official peace agreement in May, militant
  groups and bandits continue to cause civil
  insecurity, including clashes in August

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