Dissolve

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Dissolve
FadedZoom
Fade
Spiral
Wheel
Crawl
Fly
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• Power/Lognormal Distribution
• Naturalistic Fallacy
• Escape from Natural Law

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• Power-Lognormal (POLO) distribution

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POLO Pattern Attractor
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Global, lognormal distribution of land

• Parameter 1960 1990
• n units 146 191
• Land area 4.06 0.66
• Distance from lognormal as expressed as chi2/n

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Global, lognormal distribution of people

• Parameter 1960 1990
• n units 146 191
• Population 0.49 0.30
• Distance from lognormal as expressed as chi2/n

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Distribution of wealth () and lognormal fit ()
among the 1000 largest multinational companies
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Naturalistic Fallacy Is ? Ought
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Man is born, grows up and dies according to
certain laws
? Adolph Quetelet
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Laws of social gravitation
? Thomas Henry Huxley
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Perhaps, indeed, we ought not to try to change
it the lognormal distribution of wealth. It is
not always wise to try to change the laws of
nature. Success does not usually attend such
attempts, and if success is only to be expected
when all life has ceased and nothing moves any
longer in the economic system, we should hardly
welcome the success. We might do far better to
try to understand the law, and the causes that
bring it about, than to try to change it out of
indignation and without understanding.
Preston (1950)
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Maybe Greenspan and Marx are wrong. The most
robust state for an economy could be the
decentralized self-organized critical state of
capitalist economics, with fluctuations of all
sizes and durations. The fluctuations of prices
and economic activity may be a nuisance (in
particular if it hits you), but that is the best
we can do! The self-organized critical state
with all its fluctuations is not the best
possible state, but it is the best state that is
dynamically achievable. Bak (1997)
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a theoretical framework should be dynamic and
prescriptive, not static and descriptive.
Holling (2001)
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ethics should be biologizedethical action
is conduct favored consistently enough
throughout a society to be expressed as a code of
principles E.O. Wilson
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Transcendentalism Positivisms
evolutionary outcome
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No ethical magic tricksThe rabbit of ought
can not be pulled out from the hat of is
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Tiger! Tiger! burning brightIn the forests of
the night,What immortal hand or eyeCould frame
thy fearful symmetry?Did he smile his work to
see?Did he who made the Lamb make thee?
William Blake
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Naturalistic Constraint Ought ? Can
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Self-organized criticality is a law of nature
for which there is no dispensation.Bak (1997)
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the critical state, with traffic jams of all
sizes is the most efficient system. The system
has self-organized to the critical state with
the highest throughput of cars. Bak (1997)
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Most of the evils of life arise from a desire of
present enjoyment that outruns itself. Mary
Wollstonecraft
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The structure of complex systems is predictable,
but it is not inevitable.
Planets, Leaf-sizes, Words, Bicycles, Musical
instruments, Waiting lists, Electroencephalograms,
Insect outbreaks, Extinctions, and
Country sizes
New Zealand crops
Beetles
Nucleic acids in the human genome
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My first act of free will shall be to believe in
free will. William James