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Herman Daly's steady state of economy

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Silvia Samper Merino. Elisa San Salvador Pic . Index. Presentation of H.D. Uneconomic growth ... Currently professor at University of Maryland, School of Public ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Herman Daly's steady state of economy


1
Herman Daly's steady state ofeconomy
  • Iñigo López Mendezona
  • María Muruaga Vidarte
  • Silvia Samper Merino
  • Elisa San Salvador Picó

2
Index
  • Presentation of H.D
  • Uneconomic growth
  • Strong Sustainability
  • Globalisation
  • Overpopulation

3
Where does he come from?
  • Currently professor at University of Maryland,
    School of Public Affairs
  • 1988-1994 Senior Economist in the Environment
    Department of the World Bank.
  • Prior to 1988 Alumni Professor of Economics at
    Louisiana State University, where he taught
    economics for twenty years
  • Interests economic development, population,
    resources, and environment
  • Main books
  • Steady-State Economics (1977 1991)
  • Beyond Growth (1996)
  • co-author with John B. Cobb, Jr. of For the
    Common Good (19891994)

4
Index
  • Presentation of H.D
  • Uneconomic growth
  • Strong Sustainability
  • Globalisation
  • Overpopulation

5
For the common good (1989)
  • Greater income makes people not to be as happy
    as they were before

6
For the common good (1989)
  • Do GNP increases lead to increases in happiness
    and welfare ?
  • Should we change the way we measure economic
    success?
  • That which seems to be wealth may in verity be
    only the gilded index of far-reaching ruin, John
    Ruskin
  • Are we actually involved in economic growth or in
    uneconomic growth?

7
Sub-system of a larger ecosystem
so our economy will have to adapt to that same
non-growth pattern
8
Uneconomic growth
  • New national accounting
  • We should compare benefits and costs at the
    margin, in an effort to seek an optimal level of
    activity.

9
Evidence of Uneconomic Growth
70s MEW Late 80s ISEW 90s GPI
  • Policies should forget about just stimulating
    aggregate economic growth!!!

10
Environmental Kuznets Curve (1991)
  • Is the cure to an environmental problem just to
    persist in uneconomic growth???

11
To think about
  • Even if GDP was not invented to reflect
    improvement in human well-being........doesnt it
    seems that the only thing that matters is GDP???
  • we should take into account both the benefits and
    the damages that economic activity provoque.
  • We should reflect about our system, our desires
    and preferences

Education is needed that love, pleasure,
fullfilment, enjoyment, and other rewards do not
depend on over consumption, but in fact are
decreased by it
12
To sum up.. and introduce next part
  • Our economy must become a non-growth economy
  • Sustainable Development
  • Quantitative growth in populations of both
    people and commodities must ultimately end, but
    qualitative improvement can continue in a regime
    of sustainable development
  • Qualitative improvement of non-growing systems
    has been observed for long periods of time

13
Index
  • Presentation of H.D
  • Uneconomic growth
  • Strong Sustainability
  • Globalisation
  • Overpopulation

14
Different levels of Sustainability (I)
  • Weak
  • Mantaining TOTAL capital intact
  • Human capitalNatural capital
  • Social capitalManmade capital
  • Intermediate
  • Mantaining total capital intact
  • defining critical levels of each kind of capital

15
Different levels of Sustainability (II)
  • Strong Mantaining different kinds of capital
    separately
  • Absurdly strong Would never deplete anything!!!!
  • Nonrenewables could not be used
  • Renewables only to a certain point

16
And the question is...
  • Are manmade and natural capital SUBSITUTES or
    COMPLEMENTS in the economic function?

17
Dalys view
  • In the future natural capital will act as a
    limitation in the economic function
  • In favour of STRONG
  • Complementarity of manmade and natural capital

18
Management of resources
  • Renewable resources 2 rules
  • 1-Harvest rates regeneration rates
  • 2- Waste emission rates assimilative capacities
    of the ecosystems

19
Management of resources
  • Non renewables
  • rate of consumption of non-renewables
  • rate of creation of renewable substitutes.

20
Index
  • Presentation of H.D
  • Uneconomic growth
  • Strong Sustainability
  • Globalisation
  • Overpopulation

21
Introduction
  • What is globalisation?
  • IMF
  • the growing economic interdependence of
    countries worldwide through increasing volume and
    variety of cross-border transactions in goods and
    services, free international capital flows, and
    more rapid and widespread diffusion of
    technology
  • International Forum on Globalization
  • the present worldwide drive toward a
    globalized economic system dominated by
    supranational corporate trade and banking
    institutions that are not accountable to
    democratic processes or national governments.
  • Critics Noam Chomsky, JM Keynes

22
Daly and WB recomendations
  • Free trade
  • Free capital movility vs. Nationalist

  • orientation
  • Fall of national governments
  • Rise of transnational corporations
  • The real global competitiveness

23
Globalisation and growth. WB, IMF, WTO.
  • What globalization says.WB, IMF, WTO
  • Rich?rapid growth to provide markets to poor.
  • Poor?sell their exports in those markets
    accepting foreign investments from corporations.
  • Unavoidable?
  • if rich dont grow, no surplus to invest in poor
    countries. As a result, they dont buy the export
    of the poor ones.
  • Solution
  • Support the idea of decreasing the uneconomic
    growth in rich countries to make room for the
    poor to increase their economic growth.

24
Comparative and absolute advantage
  • Comp. Advantage? requires capital immobility to
    be fully positive
  • Abs. Advantage?coherent with actual model
    (capital mobility)
  • Less benefits than comp. Adv.
  • Solutions
  • Restrict international capital mobility
  • Introduce international redistribution of global
    gains
  • IMFs choice elude the contradiction.
  • Comparative advantage-based free trade
  • Free international capital mobility

25
Index
  • Presentation of H.D
  • Uneconomic growth
  • Strong Sustainability
  • Internalisation-Globalisation
  • Overpopulation

26
POPULATION GROWTH AND ENVIROMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
27
Introduction
  • Malthus terrible disasters could result from
    the consequent imbalance in the proportion
    between the natural increase of population and
    food.
  • The growth rate of world population has speeded
    up over the last century at a remarkable rate.
  • Our current inequitable patterns of production,
    consumption and distribution have not been
    capable to provide adecuately today s relative
    low population

Changes in attitude and practices needed to be
able to face the increase of population expected
28
Population and sustainability
  • Rapid population growth is mainly a Third World
  • phenomenon
  • North America Europe fertility rates have come
    down with social and
  • economic development
  • Asia Latin America are experiencing a fall in
    fertility rates.
  • SubSaharan Africa The magnitude of population
    problem remains huge.
  • Robert M.Solow
  • Paradox in poor countries they have children to
    ensure policies for their own old age
  • Control of population growth would probably be
    the best available policy on behalf of
    sustainability

29
How to measure the impact of population growth in
environmental sustainability
  • Herman Daly defines CC
  • The maximal population size of a given species
    that and area can
  • support without reducing its ability to support
    the same species in
  • the future.
  • In the case of humans this indicator reflects the
    sustainable
  • level of population growth, considering the
    finite nature of
  • Our planet, giving priority to development
    rather than to growth.
  • Ehrlich and Holdren created a model to measure
    this concept
  • I P x A x T

30
Posible solutions to the population problem
  • Different opinions
  • Those who would give priority to the family, or
    the potential mother, to decide how many children
    to have, ensuring their access to family planning
    and education (India)
  • Those who have opted for coertion policies in
    matters of family decisions (China)
  • Amartya Sens opinion
  • There is little evidence that coertion works
    faster than what can be
  • achieved through voluntary family planning,
    social change and
  • development

31
Personal thinking
  • In a world with limited resources and especially
    under current inequitable patterns of living, it
    is undeniable the necessity to slow down
    population growth.
  • It is important to avoid side effects of
    population control measures
  • Population stability is not only a matter of the
    poor countries, but also of those developed
    high-consuming nations which must reduce their
    necessity for growth.
  • Developed world is mainly responsible for
    the profligate an
  • inequitable use of resources
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