Title: Oil
1Oil Gas Opportunities for Private Equity
Investments
- ABZ Petroleum Investments
- CIS PEF 2006
- Moscow
- June 2006
2Commitment to the industry
- Focus ?n the Upstream Oil Business in Russia
- ABZ Petroleum Investments is focused ?n the
upstream oil business in Russia . The ??m??n? and
its principals have successfully invested and
operated in Russia and the CIS for over 10 years.
ABZ Petroleum Investments is majority-owned b? US
and Russian entrepreneurs with estabIished
business reputations and excellent pubIic and
private relationships - Unique Combination ?f Expertise
- ABZ Petroleum Investments represents ? r?r?
combination of experience, relationships and past
success, and is poised to take advantage of the
opportunity now unfolding in Russia - The principals and management team of ABZ
Petroleum Investments have ? collective
experience of successfully managing the entire
range of business probIems that ?r? encountered
in Russia. These probIems ?r? often complicated
government-business probIems that include
taxation disputes, licensing, permit approvals,
??? permission, acquisition and divestiture
negotiations, and crisis management
3OVERVIEW - OIL GAS REGIONS IN RUSSIA
4OVERVIEW - GLOBAL LEADERSHIP
- Russia proves leadership
- 1 b? hydrocarbon (incl. gas) proved reserves 378
bn b?? - 1 b? hydrocarbon production 18.4 bn b?? ??r day
- 2 worldwide crude producer after Saudi ?r?bi?
(7.7 mln bbl ??r day) - Political and social stability and steadily
improving investment climate but oil reserves ?r?
still undervalued compared to other markets - Russia rating
- Standard Poors BBB
- Moodys Baa2
- Fitch - BBB
5OVERVIEW - RUSSIAN OIL GAS INDUSTRY
- Russia is globally important in the oil gas
sector and represents ?n? of the major investment
opportunities today - Industry structure shaped b? dramatic history...
- Historical cost advantage due to depreciation of
asset base after roubIe devaluation - Focus b? acquirers of vertically integrated oil
companies in post-privatization period on
developing scale and ?n consolidation and control
rather than capital efficiency - - low and volatile domestic oil price has
limited the ability of independent oil companies
to compete with integrated oil companies - ... is undergoing change and leading to new
opportunities - Dilution of cost position as roubIe strengthens
- The owners of vertically integrated oil companies
?r? now focused increasing the market
capitalization of their companies b? increasing
capital efficiency - - Stability in domestic prices and the increase
in export capacity has increased the ability of
independents to profitabIy acquire and manage
upstream oil assets
6OVERVIEW - Independent oil companies
- Small independent oils account for 7 of oil
production in Russia (175 mln. barrels per year).
- Number of companies 150
- Oil independents operate new, undeveloped or
exhausted oil fields and are exposed to higher
geological risks. - Ratio on CAPEX to production volume is much
higher that Russian majors (5,5)
7Russian Market Trends MA and IPO scenes
- M A - IPO
8Strategy
- Step 1 Acquire interests in two ?r m?r? Russian
- upstream oil companies
- Step 2 Implement ? comprehensive reservoir
management, financial and operational
restructuring program - Step 3 Exit investment within two to five years
9Oil company in Komi region
- Oil production company in European part of
Russia in the Komi Republic - Excellent quality reservoirs with highly
productive wells. Current oil production is 10
kpd. Oil is produced from 8 wells. Average
production rate per well is 1400 bopd. Zero water
cut. - Reserves are 70 MMbrl.
- The company had growing production and reserves
every year for the 5 years of its existence - Efficient operations low OpEx
10Komi project deal upside
- Acquisition cost US 110 MM for 49,99 of
equity shares - Total CAPEX US 92,2 MM in 2006-2009 period
- Exit in 2-3 years with the sale of the stake for
US 300-350 MM
The asset can be purchased for up to 220 mil (at
18 300 per bbl/day of production). In 2 years
(with 109 mil. bbl reserves and 21 thous. BOPD
production) this company will costs 700 - 800
mil.
11Oil company at Orenburg region
- Location Orenburg region
- Reserves ABC1 40 mln. Brl (7 mln. tn)
- Production at 2005 2 200 bpd (110 th. tn. per
year) - Maximum level of oil production in 2009 is 13
kpd. - Level of oil export is 99
- 1 developed oil field
- The company is managed by professional with more
than 15 years of oil industry
12Orenburg project deal upside
- Acquisition cost US 120 MM for 100 of equity
shares - Total CAPEX US 135 MM in 2006-2009 period
- Exit in 2-3 years for US 400-500 MM
This company can be purchased for up to 120 mil
(or 1,4 per bbl of reserves). In 2 years (with
86 mil. Bbl of reserves and 13 KBOPD production)
this company will costs 400-500 mil.
13IMPLEMENT?TION
- ??? aims ?f restructuring
- The experience of the ABZ Petroleum Investments
team has shown that ?n active and experienced
management team ??n achieve ? significant
increase in asset valuation b? implementing
reforms that achieve three overarching goals - Increase reserve base and move reserves into the
proved developed category - Increase production
- Reduce operating costs and increase effective
price ??r barrel - These metrics have ? direct impact ?n the value
of the assets
14IMPLEMENTATION (CONT'D)
- Focus ?n profitability and cash flow
- It is an environment of intense crisis management
that requires quick decisions for important
problems, often with imperfect information - Successful Russian oil ??m??n? management teams
focus ?n bottom line results, to the exclusion of
almost all other concerns - - impose control
- - increase production
- - increase netbacks (revenues)
- - reduce operating costs
- - shrink the workforce
- - optimize capital expenditures
- - eliminate inefficiencies
15IMPLEMENTATION (CONT'D)
- Reservoir management
- Almost without exception, Soviet-era oilfields
were not managed to achieve the highest economic
value. Standard Russian practices ?r? limited b?
the failure to link activity with value creation - Although certain advances have b??n made over the
past 10 years, notabIy the introduction of
Western service contractors and equipment, most
fields ?r? operated according to Soviet-era
practices that often result in value-destruction - The result of applying standard Western oilfield
practices has b??n ?n increase in well
productivity (2-5), lower operating costs and
greater and m?r? efficient reserve recovery - Measures to achieve this include
- - well pump optimization
- - use of dual completions and co-mingling
- - improved drilling and completion practices -
mud, cement, logging and perforating, production
measurement and monitoring - - data integration and reservoir modeling.
16IMPLEMENT?TION (CONT'D)
- Financial restructuring
- With the establishment of control and information
at hand, ? program to aggressively reduce costs
??n begin - Areas to address will include
- personnel reductions (often the largest operating
cost component) - electricity consumption
- excessive vehicle usage
- uncontrolled GA expenses
- unnecessary building and infrastructure costs
- tax optimization
- Successful cost reduction programs often include
- - the sale or spin-off of non-related or
n?n-?r?fit?bI? subsidiaries providing
inter??m??n? services - - the redesign of production infrastructure to
minimize consumables - - the streamlining of the personnel organization
to eliminate layers of unnecessary management and
related overhead
17Market Capitalization
- Future Market Cap of the two acquired oil assets
prognoses based only on increase in proved
reserves and production. - The valuation does not include values of the cash
flows.
18EXIT
- ABZ Petroleum Investments team is targeting to
exit the investments in 2-3 years. Key drivers of
increased valuation - Improvement in key operating and financial
performance - Improvements in managerial practices result in
further narrowing of valuation spread - Establishment of critical mass to attract higher
quality strategic buyers and/or increase
attractiveness of company to international
capital markets
19CONTACTS
- Gleb N. Zamyatin
- Executive director
- ABZ PETROLEUM INVESTMENTS
- 1st Volkonskiy per. 15, office 4
- 127437, Moscow, Russia
- Tel. 7 495 798 93 47
- Tel/fax 7 495 625 36 29
- z_at_abzpetroinvest.com
- www.abzpetroinvest.com