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Realities NDFD, NDGD, IFPS PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Realities NDFD, NDGD, IFPS - The Digital Forecast Process. Numerical. Modeling. Observations. Numerical. Output. Model ... Information about forecast uncertainty can be derived from NDFD ...
The Digital Forecast Process. Numerical. Modeling. Observations. Numerical. Output. Model ... Information about forecast uncertainty can be derived from NDFD ...
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NDFD Status Whats new and whats coming PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NDFD Status Whats new and whats coming - Climatology. PRIMF. Server. Numerical. Output. NDFD. NDGD. NWS Forecast ... Station/gridpoint climatology. Post MDL interpretative products experimentally ...
Climatology. PRIMF. Server. Numerical. Output. NDFD. NDGD. NWS Forecast ... Station/gridpoint climatology. Post MDL interpretative products experimentally ...
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COMPLETING THE FORECAST: ASSESSING AND COMMUNICATING FORECAST UNCERTAINTY PowerPoint PPT Presentation
COMPLETING THE FORECAST: ASSESSING AND COMMUNICATING FORECAST UNCERTAINTY - Expand forecasting with new dimension of uncertainty ... Expand NDFD/NDGD database to include forecast uncertainty (ST) ... of expanded forecast process ...
Expand forecasting with new dimension of uncertainty ... Expand NDFD/NDGD database to include forecast uncertainty (ST) ... of expanded forecast process ...
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Updated Thunderstorm Probability Forecast Guidance in Support of Gridded Model Output Statistics PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Updated Thunderstorm Probability Forecast Guidance in Support of Gridded Model Output Statistics - Updated Thunderstorm Probability Forecast ... Cool: October 16 March 15 ... NDGD web-based graphics. Distributed in GRIB2 format. 3-,6-, 12-h forecast periods ...
Updated Thunderstorm Probability Forecast ... Cool: October 16 March 15 ... NDGD web-based graphics. Distributed in GRIB2 format. 3-,6-, 12-h forecast periods ...
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Products%20expressed%20in%20terms%20of%20climate%20anomalies PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Products%20expressed%20in%20terms%20of%20climate%20anomalies - Products expressed in terms of climate anomalies. Yuejian Zhu and Zoltan Toth ... Appealing heuristically (well defined meaning) ...
Products expressed in terms of climate anomalies. Yuejian Zhu and Zoltan Toth ... Appealing heuristically (well defined meaning) ...
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Introduction of the North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Introduction of the North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) - Richard Verret, Lawrence Wilson CMC/MSC. PROJECT HISTORY & MILESTONES ... NOAA / MSC high level agreement about joint ensemble research/development work ...
Richard Verret, Lawrence Wilson CMC/MSC. PROJECT HISTORY & MILESTONES ... NOAA / MSC high level agreement about joint ensemble research/development work ...
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Gridded MOS PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Gridded MOS - Gridded MOS A Prototype System J. Paul Dallavalle NWS/OST/MDL paul.dallavalle@noaa.gov 301-713-0023, x135 Ninth Annual Great Divide Workshop Great Falls, MT
Gridded MOS A Prototype System J. Paul Dallavalle NWS/OST/MDL paul.dallavalle@noaa.gov 301-713-0023, x135 Ninth Annual Great Divide Workshop Great Falls, MT
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Introducing EKDMOS PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Introducing EKDMOS - Yh(new) = new value of Y found from a new value of X, Xh. MSE = error sum of squares divided by degrees of freedom. r = multiple correlation coefficient ...
Yh(new) = new value of Y found from a new value of X, Xh. MSE = error sum of squares divided by degrees of freedom. r = multiple correlation coefficient ...
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May 2006 Upgrade of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) PowerPoint PPT Presentation
May 2006 Upgrade of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) - DingChen Hou and Ken Campana EMC. David Michaud, Brent Gorden and Luke ... ETIM is better than AEMN. Hurricane Track Errors (All Basins: 08/20-09/30/2005) Cases ...
DingChen Hou and Ken Campana EMC. David Michaud, Brent Gorden and Luke ... ETIM is better than AEMN. Hurricane Track Errors (All Basins: 08/20-09/30/2005) Cases ...
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NCEP Air Quality Forecast System Upgrades for the Summer 2005 PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NCEP Air Quality Forecast System Upgrades for the Summer 2005 - NCEP Air Quality Forecast System Upgrades for the Summer 2005 Jeff McQueen, Pius Lee, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Bert Katz, Geoff Manikin and Sarah Lu
NCEP Air Quality Forecast System Upgrades for the Summer 2005 Jeff McQueen, Pius Lee, Marina Tsildulko, Geoff DiMego Bert Katz, Geoff Manikin and Sarah Lu
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Glenn Austin, Transition Manager PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Glenn Austin, Transition Manager - To meet customer and partner needs for high quality, accessible, ... Katrina's Eye Forecast to. Pass over New Orleans. Forecast issued. Saturday morning Aug 27 ...
To meet customer and partner needs for high quality, accessible, ... Katrina's Eye Forecast to. Pass over New Orleans. Forecast issued. Saturday morning Aug 27 ...
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REVIEW OF RECOMMENDATIONS FROM THE 3RD ENSEMBLE USER WORKSHOP (OCT. 2006) PowerPoint PPT Presentation
REVIEW OF RECOMMENDATIONS FROM THE 3RD ENSEMBLE USER WORKSHOP (OCT. 2006) - Title: Ensemble Data Author: NCEP_USER Last modified by: ztoth Created Date: 5/19/2004 7:37:42 PM Document presentation format: On-screen Show Company
Title: Ensemble Data Author: NCEP_USER Last modified by: ztoth Created Date: 5/19/2004 7:37:42 PM Document presentation format: On-screen Show Company
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NAEFS and the North American Week 2 Forecast PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NAEFS and the North American Week 2 Forecast - 80 members per cycle, 2 cycles per day from MSC & NWS ... NOAA / MSC high level agreement about joint ... Determine weights and combine MSC and NCEP ensemble ...
80 members per cycle, 2 cycles per day from MSC & NWS ... NOAA / MSC high level agreement about joint ... Determine weights and combine MSC and NCEP ensemble ...
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Tenth ECMWF Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Tenth ECMWF Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems - Tenth ECMWF Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems WCMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom 14-18 November 2005 Summarized By
Tenth ECMWF Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems WCMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom 14-18 November 2005 Summarized By
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Products expressed in terms of climate anomalies PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Products expressed in terms of climate anomalies - Depends on variables and geographical locations (?) Most of them are normal ... Anomaly forecast maps are shown normal (0%), above normal ( %) and below normal ...
Depends on variables and geographical locations (?) Most of them are normal ... Anomaly forecast maps are shown normal (0%), above normal ( %) and below normal ...
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NORTH AMERICAN ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NORTH AMERICAN ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM - NORTH AMERICAN ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM (NAEFS) Prepared by Zoltan Toth Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP USA November 14, 2005
NORTH AMERICAN ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM (NAEFS) Prepared by Zoltan Toth Environmental Modeling Center NOAA/NWS/NCEP USA November 14, 2005
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Toward a US National AQ Forecast Capability: Current and Planned Capabilities PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Toward a US National AQ Forecast Capability: Current and Planned Capabilities - Toward a US National AQ Forecast Capability: Current and Planned Capabilities
Toward a US National AQ Forecast Capability: Current and Planned Capabilities
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Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge (P-Surge) PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge (P-Surge) - The NWS uses composites of its results to predict potential storm surge flooding ... In order to deal with the paucity of observations, we wanted to use an analysis ...
The NWS uses composites of its results to predict potential storm surge flooding ... In order to deal with the paucity of observations, we wanted to use an analysis ...
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Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge (psurge) NOAA PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge (psurge) NOAA - Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge (psurge) NOAA's National Weather Service. Arthur Taylor ... psurge@noaa.gov (currently arthur.taylor@noaa.gov) ...
Probabilistic Hurricane Storm Surge (psurge) NOAA's National Weather Service. Arthur Taylor ... psurge@noaa.gov (currently arthur.taylor@noaa.gov) ...
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Probabilistic Guidance for Hurricane Storm Surge Psurge PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Probabilistic Guidance for Hurricane Storm Surge Psurge - Probabilistic Guidance for Hurricane Storm Surge (P-surge) Arthur Taylor and Bob Glahn ... for loss of life related to a hurricane is from the storm surge. ...
Probabilistic Guidance for Hurricane Storm Surge (P-surge) Arthur Taylor and Bob Glahn ... for loss of life related to a hurricane is from the storm surge. ...
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END PRODUCTS PowerPoint PPT Presentation
END PRODUCTS - End products generated jointly. Experimental ... End product distribution ... NCEP Service Centers for each functionality are provided in attached tables (eg. ...
End products generated jointly. Experimental ... End product distribution ... NCEP Service Centers for each functionality are provided in attached tables (eg. ...
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THE NCEP REAL-TIME MESOSCALE ANALYSIS (RTMA) PowerPoint PPT Presentation
THE NCEP REAL-TIME MESOSCALE ANALYSIS (RTMA) - THE NCEP REAL-TIME MESOSCALE ANALYSIS (RTMA) Manuel Pondeca, Geoff Manikin , David Parrish, James Purser, Geoff DiMego, Stan Benjamin, John Horel, Lee Anderson, Brad ...
THE NCEP REAL-TIME MESOSCALE ANALYSIS (RTMA) Manuel Pondeca, Geoff Manikin , David Parrish, James Purser, Geoff DiMego, Stan Benjamin, John Horel, Lee Anderson, Brad ...
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Implementation Brief: Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Implementation Brief: Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) - ... (MAC) established August 2004 by Jack Hayes Director, NWS Office of ... Contacts: Jaime Daniels NESDIS (b) (a) (c) NESDIS' GOES Effective Cloud Amount ...
... (MAC) established August 2004 by Jack Hayes Director, NWS Office of ... Contacts: Jaime Daniels NESDIS (b) (a) (c) NESDIS' GOES Effective Cloud Amount ...
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PERTURBATION VS. ERROR CORRELATION ANALYSIS (PECA) PowerPoint PPT Presentation
PERTURBATION VS. ERROR CORRELATION ANALYSIS (PECA) - Zoltan Toth (NWS) & Andre Methot (MSC) Ackn. ... Andre Methot (CMC Development) Peter Houtekamer (Science) Zoltan Toth (Science) ...
Zoltan Toth (NWS) & Andre Methot (MSC) Ackn. ... Andre Methot (CMC Development) Peter Houtekamer (Science) Zoltan Toth (Science) ...
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Accessing and Using GFS LAMP Products PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Accessing and Using GFS LAMP Products - Probability of thunderstorm occurrence in a 2 hour period in a ... Yes/No Thunderstorm Occurrence during 2-Hour period. 2 ... Occurrence (Yes ...
Probability of thunderstorm occurrence in a 2 hour period in a ... Yes/No Thunderstorm Occurrence during 2-Hour period. 2 ... Occurrence (Yes ...
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Mesoscale Modeling Branch: Where We Are and Where Were Going PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Mesoscale Modeling Branch: Where We Are and Where Were Going - Where the Nation's climate and weather services begin. 2. Who We Are. Government Scientists ... Mar 08: GFS Gravity Wave Drag& Mt Bocking. Dec 08: Partial Cycling ...
Where the Nation's climate and weather services begin. 2. Who We Are. Government Scientists ... Mar 08: GFS Gravity Wave Drag& Mt Bocking. Dec 08: Partial Cycling ...
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Planned Improvements for the NOAA Air Quality Forecast System PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Planned Improvements for the NOAA Air Quality Forecast System - June 17, 2005. Use of GFS Ozone at lateral boundaries only at ... June 09, 2005. A bug was corrected in the interpolation of ozone from the new GFS to the CMAQ ...
June 17, 2005. Use of GFS Ozone at lateral boundaries only at ... June 09, 2005. A bug was corrected in the interpolation of ozone from the new GFS to the CMAQ ...
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PERTURBATION VS' ERROR CORRELATION ANALYSIS PECA PowerPoint PPT Presentation
PERTURBATION VS' ERROR CORRELATION ANALYSIS PECA - Prototype ensemble component of THORPEX Global Interactive Forecast System (GIFS) ... Limited Area Ensembles will be important part of GIFS ...
Prototype ensemble component of THORPEX Global Interactive Forecast System (GIFS) ... Limited Area Ensembles will be important part of GIFS ...
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NCEP Update: Review of Progress in Operational Weather, Climate and Ocean Forecasts PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NCEP Update: Review of Progress in Operational Weather, Climate and Ocean Forecasts - NCEP Update: Review of Progress in Operational Weather, Climate and Ocean Forecasts
NCEP Update: Review of Progress in Operational Weather, Climate and Ocean Forecasts
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Global Climate and Weather Modeling PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Global Climate and Weather Modeling - Global Climate and Weather Modeling
Global Climate and Weather Modeling
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IN SEARCH FOR THE BEST FORECAST 2 PowerPoint PPT Presentation
IN SEARCH FOR THE BEST FORECAST 2 - Make all forecasts look like model analysis. Independent of lead time ... Most likely value (expected value of forecast pdf) provided only ...
Make all forecasts look like model analysis. Independent of lead time ... Most likely value (expected value of forecast pdf) provided only ...
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PERTURBATION VS' ERROR CORRELATION ANALYSIS PECA PowerPoint PPT Presentation
PERTURBATION VS' ERROR CORRELATION ANALYSIS PECA - http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/ens/index.html ... Use same algorithms/codes at both MSC and NWS ... AND CORRESPONDING CLIMATE PERCENTILES (SHADES OF COLOR) ...
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/ens/index.html ... Use same algorithms/codes at both MSC and NWS ... AND CORRESPONDING CLIMATE PERCENTILES (SHADES OF COLOR) ...
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NAEFS TELECONFERENCE June 17 2005 PowerPoint PPT Presentation
NAEFS TELECONFERENCE June 17 2005 - NAEFS TELECONFERENCE. June 17 2005. LOCALLY GENERATED. Median of selected values Sept. 2005 ... How to bridge gap between model and NDGD grids? ...
NAEFS TELECONFERENCE. June 17 2005. LOCALLY GENERATED. Median of selected values Sept. 2005 ... How to bridge gap between model and NDGD grids? ...
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